Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 30 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 71 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 8 Oct 2026, the highest close was 65% on 4 Oct 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 13 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 55% on 9 Sep 2026. $34.21K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 9, 3:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 71 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 8 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 8.5% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 7.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.13K |
| Hamilton | Yes | 1.4K |
| Annual-Commercial | Yes | 918.9 |
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-hurricanes-will-form-during-the-atlantic-hurricane-season-in-2026-20260728201848339
| Neon Atlas F332 | Yes | 506.02 |
| TimboSauce | Yes | 250.75 |
| haouibao | Yes | 240 |
| tryrktry | Yes | 195 |
| Specialist200303 | Yes | 172.89 |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf2 | Yes | 104 |
| merod | Yes | 101.78 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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