Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | Yes | 241.6 | $0.596 | $170.33 | +$26.34 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.2%?Yes | buy | 20.5 | $0.002 | $0.04 | 8h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 177.93 |
| $0.357 |
| $78.29 |
| +$14.74 |
 Will Shas win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 165 | $0.332 | $62.7 | +$7.85 |
 Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.781 | $53.46 | -$6.63 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026? | Yes | 241.6 | $0.175 | $44.94 | +$2.72 |
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | Yes | 177.93 | $0.250 | $41.81 | -$2.69 |
| Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 165 | $0.250 | $36.3 | -$4.95 |
| Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 165 | $0.196 | $34.65 | +$2.25 |
| Will Shas win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 165 | $0.089 | $33 | +$18.35 |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | Yes | 177.93 | $0.210 | $31.94 | -$5.47 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 58.79 | $0.640 | $28.51 | -$9.13 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 58.79 | $0.307 | $27.34 | +$9.26 |
 Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 47.35 | $0.560 | $23.91 | -$2.6 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026? | Yes | 241.6 | $0.158 | $22.11 | -$15.95 |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%? | Yes | 20.5 | $0.636 | $13.37 | +$0.32 |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | Yes | 177.93 | $0.094 | $13.34 | -$3.36 |
 Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | Yes | 27.23 | $0.042 | $13.3 | +$12.15 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | Yes | 27.23 | $0.930 | $13.07 | -$12.25 |
| Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 47.35 | $0.170 | $12.55 | +$4.5 |
 Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | Yes | 40 | $0.260 | $11 | +$0.6 |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | Yes | 40 | $0.180 | $10.8 | +$3.6 |
 Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%? | Yes | 21.6 | $0.500 | $10.15 | -$0.65 |
 Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft? | Yes | 22 | $0.302 | $10.01 | +$3.37 |
| Will AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 21 | $0.370 | $9.98 | +$2.21 |
 Will the PCQ win 8-10 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | Yes | 30.64 | $0.208 | $8.73 | +$2.37 |
| buy |
| 20.5 |
| $0.188 |
| $3.85 |
| 8h ago |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be less than 2.0?Yes | buy | 20.5 | $0.017 | $0.35 | 8h ago |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?Yes | buy | 20.5 | $0.035 | $0.72 | 8h ago |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?Yes | buy | 20.5 | $0.011 | $0.23 | 8h ago |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?Yes | buy | 20.5 | $0.636 | $13.04 | 8h ago |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?Yes | buy | 20.5 | $0.043 | $0.88 | 8h ago |
| Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.23 | $0.004 | $0.11 | 16h ago |
| Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.23 | $0.002 | $0.05 | 16h ago |
| Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.23 | $0.002 | $0.05 | 16h ago |
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.23 | $0.042 | $1.16 | 16h ago |
| Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.23 | $0.007 | $0.19 | 16h ago |
| Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.23 | $0.002 | $0.05 | 16h ago |
| Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.23 | $0.001 | $0.03 | 16h ago |
| Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.23 | $0.001 | $0.03 | 16h ago |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.23 | $0.930 | $25.32 | 16h ago |
| Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.23 | $0.002 | $0.05 | 16h ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?Yes | buy | 241.6 | $0.158 | $38.05 | 16h ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?Yes | buy | 241.6 | $0.596 | $143.98 | 16h ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?Yes | buy | 241.6 | $0.175 | $42.22 | 16h ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 0 German state elections in September 2026?Yes | buy | 241.6 | $0.007 | $1.68 | 16h ago |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%?Yes | buy | 21.6 | $0.013 | $0.28 | 1d ago |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?Yes | buy | 21.6 | $0.500 | $10.8 | 1d ago |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 86-88%?Yes | buy | 21.6 | $0.230 | $4.97 | 1d ago |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 88% or more?Yes | buy | 21.6 | $0.071 | $1.52 | 1d ago |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%?Yes | buy | 21.6 | $0.160 | $3.46 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 28.61 | $0.100 | $2.86 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 28.61 | $0.373 | $10.67 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 28.61 | $0.039 | $1.12 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 28.61 | $0.199 | $5.7 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 28.61 | $0.240 | $6.87 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 28.61 | $0.033 | $0.94 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 28.61 | $0.012 | $0.34 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 59.32 | $0.360 | $21.38 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 59.32 | $0.112 | $6.64 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 59.32 | $0.240 | $14.24 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 59.32 | $0.039 | $2.31 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 59.32 | $0.034 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 59.32 | $0.199 | $11.82 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 59.32 | $0.012 | $0.71 | 1d ago |
| Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Yes | buy | 36.92 | $0.750 | $27.69 | 1d ago |
| Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Yes | buy | 36.92 | $0.095 | $3.5 | 1d ago |
| Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Yes | buy | 36.92 | $0.035 | $1.31 | 1d ago |
| Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Yes | buy | 36.92 | $0.031 | $1.14 | 1d ago |
| Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Yes | buy | 36.92 | $0.067 | $2.47 | 1d ago |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 52.79 | $0.641 | $33.82 | 1d ago |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 52.79 | $0.001 | $0.05 | 1d ago |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 52.79 | $0.008 | $0.42 | 1d ago |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 52.79 | $0.001 | $0.05 | 1d ago |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 52.79 | $0.307 | $16.21 | 1d ago |