Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?

Name: Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

economyActive

Closes Jan 21, 2027 UTC

Yes

51.6%

48.4%

Yes costs 51.6¢No costs 48.4¢

24h Volume

$61.1K

Total volume

$61.1K

Liquidity

$1.3K

Closes

Jan 21, 2027 UTC

Open positions

The positions Polymarket reports for this market, largest first.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
KiernanMeister	Yes	2.42K	24.9%	$584.03	Sep 27, 5:50 AM UTC
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.28K	0.0%	$0
Reckless-Estrogen-Competence	No	1.12K	46.9%	$513.08	Oct 20, 6:54 PM UTC
sabsabinxz	Yes	446.79	53.1%	$231.86	Sep 19, 1:22 PM UTC
0x49F206	No	348	42.2%	$146.77
trx1	Yes	331.27	58.3%	$189.14	Oct 12, 6:31 AM UTC
Flamboyant-Warming	Yes	325.03	24.8%	$80.65
Mithrandir.	No	200	74.2%	$146.4	Sep 3, 10:02 AM UTC
AJSV	Yes	193.98	51.1%	$99.1	Oct 24, 12:27 AM UTC
FrozenParasite	No	177.82	44.3%	$77.45	Sep 25, 9:52 PM UTC
Haradwaith	No	165.91	57.6%	$95.53	Oct 17, 10:16 PM UTC
BikesAreTheBikes	Yes	140.72	28.5%	$40.11
387411007415611814092217897387	Yes	127.47	23.5%	$29.96
tradetosurvive1	Yes	125.18	54.7%	$68.52
Turbulent-Decline-Router	Yes	108.75	29.9%	$32.51
cacato	Yes	105.5	60.9%	$64.25
Dapsy	No	100	55.1%	$55.1
MarlaSinger1999	No	100	79.8%	$79.8
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed	Yes	94.26	50.0%	$47.13	Oct 21, 12:05 AM UTC
zeitfi-vault-v2	Yes	60.21	57.3%	$33.78	Oct 5, 8:21 PM UTC
YoungAlphaGoat	No	56.85	77.6%	$43.63	Aug 31, 12:07 AM UTC
Impartial-Expedition	Yes	55.69	40.8%	$22.09	Oct 20, 9:55 AM UTC
Bright Kestrel A127	No	52.81	37.9%	$19.38	Sep 27, 3:51 AM UTC
JustBot	Yes	49.37	11.1%	$5.5
HerrieDavis	Yes	45.92	34.7%	$15.95
imagineall	No	40	76.0%	$30.4
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	39.81	60.4%	$23.57	Sep 28, 6:26 PM UTC
Peppery-Strawman-Rhubarb	Yes	30.11	56.9%	$16.77	Oct 5, 8:16 PM UTC
WarriorH	Yes	22	61.0%	$13.42	Aug 31, 1:36 PM UTC
thedogofhellfire	Yes	20.32	58.6%	$11.91
LeChatonFat	Yes	20	61.1%	$12.22
Kingspp	No	20	70.3%	$13.96	Sep 17, 5:20 AM UTC
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.	No	20	68.1%	$13.62
GuyFromTinder	No	20	48.8%	$9.76
fabclaw	No	20	71.0%	$14.2
cigarettes	No	20	47.4%	$9.24	Sep 21, 2:37 PM UTC
soliton137	Yes	17.88	11.1%	$1.99
Lunar Pulse E799	No	16.11	38.5%	$6.01	Sep 26, 9:06 PM UTC
iminmymomscarbroombroom	No	13.62	37.9%	$5	Sep 26, 9:06 PM UTC
Pupu123	No	13.41	60.4%	$7.93	Sep 21, 5:33 PM UTC
human.bean	Yes	12	6.3%	$0.75
Silver Maven 0AF9	No	10.78	38.5%	$4.03	Sep 26, 9:06 PM UTC
Silver Ledger FD46	No	10.53	37.9%	$3.87	Sep 27, 3:51 AM UTC
FoolAndHisMoney	No	10	91.8%	$9.18
Quiet Sphinx 2341	No	8.01	51.5%	$4.03	Sep 21, 4:32 PM UTC
65sfds	No	7.5	42.2%	$3.17
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	7.3	49.1%	$3.58	Oct 22, 12:59 PM UTC
Silver Ledger 220B	No	7.01	56.0%	$3.82	Sep 21, 4:32 PM UTC
2B9S	Yes	6.06	6.0%	$0.36
thisjustdoesntfeelright	Yes	5.49	4.0%	$0.22
15rob	No	5.07	79.3%	$4.02
denso	Yes	5	6.3%	$0.31
Nonstop-Tailspin	Yes	5	45.4%	$2.27
animal.bean	Yes	5	6.3%	$0.31
123987456	Yes	2.49	11.1%	$0.28
pppnn	Yes	2.38	66.8%	$1.59
PPMT	Yes	2.01	49.2%	$0.99
48xsds	Yes	1.62	20.5%	$0.33
15rob	Yes	1.53	10.8%	$0.16
b57	Yes	0.82	49.6%	$0.41	Sep 21, 7:32 PM UTC
monoclith	No	0.57	59.1%	$0.34	Sep 22, 5:32 PM UTC
leantiger	Yes	0.46	61.3%	$0.28	Oct 17, 11:16 PM UTC
Mojito9	No	0.4	56.9%	$0.23
Mojito9	Yes	0.37	23.4%	$0.09
nibblemaxxing	No	0.31	81.5%	$0.25
50sad	Yes	0.21	17.0%	$0.04
CopyMEyouwillwin	No	0.21	56.2%	$0.12	Sep 25, 9:52 PM UTC
Numitus1994	Yes	0.18	10.0%	$0.02
pupka-zalupka	Yes	0.14	51.6%	$0.07	Oct 21, 5:26 PM UTC
sdfsdfsdfsdf2	Yes	0.11	61.2%	$0.07	Oct 5, 6:40 PM UTC

70 of 70 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
KiernanMeister	$1.25K
Indigo Signal 2966	$1.1K
Reckless-Estrogen-Competence	$542.07

Analytics