Analytics
Yes is at 2.1%, down 48 points from 50% when the market opened on 6 Aug 2026.
Across the 81 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54% on 16 Aug 2026 and the lowest 2% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.7%; a month before, 9.3%. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 54% on 16 Aug 2026.
It is one of 50 markets under “NCAA Football: CFB Playoff Top 4 Seeds”.
$5.8K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $479.94, with a 2.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 38 trades, $162.33 bought Yes and $3.35K bought No; the largest was a $1.73K buy of No at 88.0¢.
The largest Yes position is oliman2 with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is Violet Maven 063C with 2.3K.
Trading closes on 21 Dec 2026, 52 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 81 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Violet Maven 063C | No | 2.27K |
| oliman2 | Yes | 1.17K |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 431.28 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the above team is seeded No. 1, No. 2, No. 3, or No. 4 in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff bracket, and "No" otherwise. If the 2026-27 College Football Playoff is canceled, or an official bracket is not released by December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all outcomes in this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the College Football Playoff (collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-cfb-playoff-top-4-seeds-20260803203916647
37 more markets, none above 13.0%.
| KindaBoiled |
| Yes |
| 400 |
| macrosteaks | No | 98 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 90 |
| 73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0. | Yes | 60 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 52.1 |
| PPMT | Yes | 45.99 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 40 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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