Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, about where the market opened on 8 Aug 2026.
Across the 80 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 0.6% on 10 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.2%.
Tesla ranks seventh of the 9 outcomes in “3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?”. Microsoft leads at 61.5%; Alphabet is at 19.5%.
$6.51K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $33.34K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 178 trades, $9.3 bought Yes and $4.57K bought No.
The largest Yes position is jozeslemsek with 3.4K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 9.3K. Ten wallets hold 89.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 4:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 80 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 0.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.25K |
| jozeslemsek | Yes | 3.42K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.46K |
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-largest-company-end-of-december-2026
| cigarettes |
| Yes |
| 609.64 |
| golfs2005 | Yes | 500 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 401.42 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 300 |
| plainfolder | Yes | 235.7 |
| balthazar | Yes | 209.79 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 203.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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