Analytics
Yes is at 0.5%, down 1.6 points from 2.1% when the market opened on 8 Aug 2026.
Across the 79 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 2.4% on 26 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 12 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.5%.
SpaceX ranks sixth of the 9 outcomes in “3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?”. Microsoft leads at 62.5%; Alphabet is at 29.5%.
$184.53 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $11.51K since listing. The order book holds $36.01K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 236 trades, $23.24 bought Yes and $5.93K bought No.
The largest Yes position is sdfdsfffdgwe with 2.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 9.3K. Ten wallets hold 83.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 79 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 2.1% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.25K |
| sdfdsfffdgwe | Yes | 2.29K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.04K |
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-largest-company-end-of-december-2026
| blastimas |
| Yes |
| 665.82 |
| X10X10 | Yes | 634.51 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 589.64 |
| jozeslemsek | Yes | 539.12 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 461.42 |
| testingjp | Yes | 400 |
| akko123 | Yes | 286 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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