Analytics
Yes is at 26.5%, down 24 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 8 Aug 2026.
Across the 76 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 69.5% on 5 Oct 2026 and the lowest 18% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 65.5%; a month before, 61%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 34% on 9 Aug 2026.
Alphabet ranks second of the 9 outcomes in “3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?”. Microsoft leads at 62.5%; Amazon is at 5.1%.
$3.11K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $36.81K since listing. The order book holds $9.09K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $6.48K bought Yes and $2.22K bought No.
The largest Yes position is suntori with 4.5K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 9.3K. Ten wallets hold 79.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 50.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 26.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.25K |
| suntori | Yes | 4.47K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.04K |
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-largest-company-end-of-december-2026
| Hauchn |
| No |
| 962.79 |
| T-600 | Yes | 430 |
| Tonymountaina | Yes | 411.98 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 400.03 |
| vigneshwar | Yes | 372.44 |
| 387411007415611814092217897387 | No | 296.52 |
| rocky42011 | Yes | 295.38 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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