Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Across the 80 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 2.7% on 1 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%.

Saudi Aramco ranks eighth of the 9 outcomes in “3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?”. Microsoft leads at 60.5%; Alphabet is at 23.5%.

$1.74K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $24.87K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 91 trades, $2.26 bought Yes and $1.01K bought No.

The largest Yes position is e46m3 with 2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 9.3K. Ten wallets hold 82.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.

Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.