Analytics
Yes is at 4.5%, up 2.6 points from 1.9% when the market opened on 8 Aug 2026.
Across the 80 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 4.9% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.3%; a month before, 0.3%.
Amazon ranks third of the 9 outcomes in “3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?”. Microsoft leads at 62.5%; Alphabet is at 26.5%.
$1.89K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.42K since listing. The order book holds $11.09K, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 107 trades, $19.48 bought Yes and $1.27K bought No.
The largest Yes position is e46m3 with 2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 9.3K. Ten wallets hold 88.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 80 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 1.9% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 4.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.25K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.97K |
| 50cents | Yes | 1.85K |
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-largest-company-end-of-december-2026
| donthackme |
| Yes |
| 992.41 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 609.64 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 461.42 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 431.49 |
| golfs2005 | Yes | 333.33 |
| plainfolder | Yes | 320.7 |
| balthazar | Yes | 209.79 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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