Analytics
Yes is at 4.9%, down 4.6 points from 9.5% when the market opened on 8 Aug 2026.
Across the 80 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 9.5% on 8 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 13 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.7%; a month before, 2.8%.
NVIDIA ranks fourth of the 9 outcomes in “3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?”. Microsoft leads at 61.5%; Alphabet is at 19.5%.
$2.78K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $17.72K since listing. The order book holds $11.06K, with a 7.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 346 trades, $82.26 bought Yes and $11.73K bought No.
The largest Yes position is 35066FE58fe with 7.5K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 9.3K. Ten wallets hold 92.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 4:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 80 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 9.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 5.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.25K |
| 35066FE58fe | Yes | 7.53K |
| e46m3 | No | 2.76K |
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-largest-company-end-of-december-2026
| SnapElectionAvoider |
| Yes |
| 966.24 |
| 387411007415611814092217897387 | Yes | 845.85 |
| dlbbbdbdbdblw | No | 822 |
| BornAgain26 | Yes | 722.39 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 468.86 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 461.42 |
| GenaTheBondKilIer | Yes | 281.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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