Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Across the 77 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 31% on 10 Aug 2026 and the lowest 3% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.5%; a month before, 14.5%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 31% on 10 Aug 2026.

Apple ranks fifth of the 9 outcomes in “3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?”. Microsoft leads at 62.5%; Alphabet is at 26.5%.

$1.23K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $20.56K since listing. The order book holds $13.27K, with a 0.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 414 trades, $669.02 bought Yes and $7.88K bought No.

The largest Yes position is Hauchn with 2.2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 9.3K. Ten wallets hold 85.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.

Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.