What is the “No airdrop in 2025?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: No airdrop in 2025? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What day will the Lighter airdrop be?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 19, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the next date Lighter performs an airdrop on. If Lighter launches a memecoin and performs an airdrop of that token within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Lighter, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($3.95M) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 503 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 73.4% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jan 4, 10:42 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/no-airdrop-in-2025) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

No airdrop in 2025? | Polymarket odds & analytics

beta

Delayed

Analytics

Predictions Analytics

No airdrop in 2025? | Polymarket odds & analytics | Vultax

Market referenceno-airdrop-in-2025Updated Jan 4, 2026

Closed

Scheduled close Dec 19, 2025

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Observed Yes 0¢Observed No 100¢

24h Volume

$4.0M

Scheduled close

Dec 19, 2025

Overview Prices Holders Trades

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Dec 31, 2025

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Jan 4, 2026

This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Closed

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

0.0%

The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

503

Wallets

503

Top 10 share

73%

Yes / No shares

578.37K / 925.55K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

246

Loaded notional

Reported market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	925.54K	0.0%	$0
Maybemiska	Yes	30.81K	0.6%	$49.32K	Dec 30, 6:54 AM

What day will the Lighter airdrop be?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “No airdrop in 2025?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: No airdrop in 2025? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What day will the Lighter airdrop be?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 19, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve according to the next date Lighter performs an airdrop on. If Lighter launches a memecoin and performs an airdrop of that token within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Lighter, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($3.95M) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Top holders by valueReturned holders ranked by current holding value. Profit and win rate are unavailable for this sample.

Trader	Current holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$925.54K
BobBOB13	$5.72
Mndlfor	$1.27
Maybemiska	$0
AllByMyseIf	$0
Royal Orbit 8A71	$0
ilovegoingbrokee	$0
Scary-Trapdoor	$0
arbezos	$0
capncook	$0
kokomamba	$0
kaspazer	$0