Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.187 | $6.17 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.156 |
| $7.8 |
| Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 49.38 | $0.326 | $16.1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 34.99 | $0.570 | $19.94 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 167.39 | $0.025 | $4.18 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.760 | $11.4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 10.9 | $0.918 | $10 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | May 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.993 | $9.93 | May 14, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 27.4 | $0.073 | $2 | May 11, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.710 | $24.48 | May 11, 2026 |
 Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 30.61 | $0.490 | $15 | May 5, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 7.35 | $0.999 | $7.34 | May 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | May 3, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 26.79 | $0.560 | $15 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.918 | $30.6 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.97 | $0.995 | $6.94 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.98 | $0.810 | $5.65 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 26.18 | $0.191 | $5 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 41.71 | $0.160 | $6.67 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 119.99 | $0.016 | $1.92 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 9.73 | $0.110 | $1.07 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.68 | $0.650 | $1.09 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.017 | $1.7 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.013 | $1.3 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 24.06 | $0.340 | $8.18 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 2.09 | $0.920 | $1.92 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 24.06 | $0.320 | $7.7 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.68 | $0.719 | $1.21 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?No | buy | 7.7 | $0.829 | $6.38 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.760 | $1.59 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9AM ETUp | buy | 5.05 | $0.630 | $3.18 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETDown | buy | 11.84 | $0.520 | $6.15 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 2.59 | $0.760 | $1.97 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 8AM ETUp | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 8AM ETUp | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8AM ETUp | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETUp | buy | 5.91 | $0.330 | $1.95 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETUp | buy | 4.86 | $0.400 | $1.94 | Mar 2, 2026 |