Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 6.25 | $0.640 | $5.78 | +$1.78 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.620 | $4 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 |
| No |
| 6.25 |
| $0.640 |
| $5.36 |
| +$1.36 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 5.63 | $0.710 | $4.27 | +$0.27 |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 4.03 | $0.992 | $4.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 5.09 | $0.786 | $2.4 | -$1.6 |
| buy |
| 6.18 |
| $0.647 |
| $4 |
| Dec 29, 2025 |
| No airdrop in 2025?No | buy | 5.72 | $0.699 | $4 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.990 | $4 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.990 | $4 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 4.03 | $0.992 | $4 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.987 | $4 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Dogecoin all time high before 2026?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.988 | $4 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.997 | $4 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.989 | $4 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.640 | $4 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.94 | $0.810 | $4 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.790 | $4 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.720 | $4 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?Yes | buy | 7.3 | $0.767 | $5.6 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Algeria win on 2025-12-24?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.780 | $4 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | buy | 4.3 | $0.930 | $4 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.790 | $4 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.600 | $4 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.790 | $4 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Maduro out by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.88 | $0.820 | $4 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?Yes | buy | 6.75 | $0.830 | $5.6 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.981 | $4 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.786 | $4 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.690 | $4 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Spread: Oregon (-21.5)Oregon | buy | 4.13 | $0.969 | $4 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Yes | buy | 6.57 | $0.609 | $4 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.620 | $4 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.760 | $4 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.71 | $0.849 | $4 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.640 | $4 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?No | buy | 5.35 | $0.747 | $4 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 5.33 | $0.750 | $4 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.790 | $4 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.779 | $4 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.790 | $4 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.991 | $6.19 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes | buy | 4.92 | $0.610 | $3 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?No | buy | 4.92 | $0.610 | $3 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.014 | $0.04 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 |