What is the “No airdrop in 2025?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: No airdrop in 2025? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What day will the Lighter airdrop be?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on 30 Dec 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the next date Lighter performs an airdrop on. If Lighter launches a memecoin and performs an airdrop of that token within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Lighter, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

503 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jan 4, 10:42 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/what-day-will-the-lighter-airdrop-be) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved No: No airdrop in 2025?

Market referenceno-airdrop-in-2025Updated Jan 4, 2026 UTC

Resolved

No · settled Dec 30, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$4.0M

Resolved

Settled

Dec 30, 2025 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Dec 31, 2025 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Jan 4, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

503

Wallets

503

Top 10 share

73%

Yes / No shares

578.37K / 925.55K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

246

Loaded notional

$225.87K

No sell at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Dec 30, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

-3.4 pts

Range

6.8% - 31.4%

Dec 14, 12:00 AM UTC to Dec 30, 12:00 AM UTC

TradesRecent market trade tape linked back into trader pages.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
Indigo Comet 06A4	sell	No	99.9%	2.3	Dec 30, 10:20 AM UTC
yamamaya	sell	No

What day will the Lighter airdrop be?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “No airdrop in 2025?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: No airdrop in 2025? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What day will the Lighter airdrop be?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved No on 30 Dec 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve according to the next date Lighter performs an airdrop on. If Lighter launches a memecoin and performs an airdrop of that token within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Lighter, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Side

Outcome

Price

Time

Indigo Comet 06A4

sell

99.9%

2.3

Dec 30, 10:20 AM UTC

yamamaya

sell