Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.400 | $20.45 | -$19.55 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.024 | $2.4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 100 |
| $0.030 |
| $5.7 |
| +$2.7 |
| Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.024 | $1.45 | -$0.95 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.140 |
| $14 |
| Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 13.82 | $0.183 | $2.53 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.034 | $3.4 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.125 | $12.47 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Record crypto liquidation in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.145 | $14.47 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 212.99 | $0.660 | $140.57 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?No | sell | 199.98 | $0.693 | $138.68 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.600 | $240 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 23?Down | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.890 | $5.34 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?Up | buy | 125 | $0.250 | $31.25 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?Up | buy | 140 | $0.240 | $33.6 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?Up | buy | 140 | $0.260 | $36.4 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?Up | buy | 150 | $0.250 | $37.5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?Up | buy | 160 | $0.250 | $40 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 11?No | buy | 200 | $0.006 | $1.2 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 26?Up | buy | 2.16K | $0.540 | $1.17K | Dec 25, 2025 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 26?Up | buy | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.930 | $185.99 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 21?No | buy | 100 | $0.033 | $3.3 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.665 | $66.5 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.934 | $186.8 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | sell | 4.99 | $0.997 | $4.98 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.959 | $95.9 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.690 | $69 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.988 | $9.88 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Aster all time high by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.966 | $96.6 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.330 | $33 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 in November?Yes | sell | 99.98 | $0.996 | $99.58 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% or more in September?Yes | buy | 93 | $0.029 | $2.7 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Bitcoin ETF Flows on October 24?Positive | buy | 55.83 | $0.480 | $26.8 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 200 | $0.230 | $46 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 65°F or higher on October 21?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.009 | $0.9 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Gold | sell | 99.99 | $0.530 | $52.99 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 67-68°F on October 20?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.850 | $25.5 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 20?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.288 | $8.64 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on October 20?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.667 | $670 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 916.27 | $0.415 | $380.25 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Bitcoin new all time high before election?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.023 | $10 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 521.23 | $0.424 | $221 | Nov 4, 2024 |