Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 15 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 178 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2025 to 1 May 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 62.5% on 19 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 20% on 25 Oct 2025. $2.27M traded over the market's life.
479 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 11:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 178 points, 15 Oct 2025 – 1 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2025 | 49.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.3% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than $4,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/megaeth-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| digsens | Yes | 23.56K |
| Coral Pulse 2334 | Yes | 21.78K |
| Trainwreckguy | Yes | 15.07K |
| comfyjoe | Yes | 14.92K |
| eatpastarunfasta | Yes | 14.1K |
| DNADS | Yes | 10.32K |
| Wallrider | Yes | 10.31K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
