Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 196.15 | $0.124 | $24.23 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 177.9 |
| $0.025 |
| $4.42 |
| Feb 21, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by February 28?Yes | buy | 81.12 | $0.123 | $10 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 231.69 | $0.088 | $20.36 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of February?No | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of February?No | buy | 108.34 | $0.923 | $100 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 154.91 | $0.772 | $119.61 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.120 | $24 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 96.22 | $0.073 | $7 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 260 | $0.080 | $20.8 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 154.91 | $0.646 | $100 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 18?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.032 | $2.22 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 96.15 | $0.520 | $50 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Palantir dip to $126 in February?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.596 | $59.57 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 110.89 | $0.631 | $70 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 60.24 | $0.800 | $48.19 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of February?No | sell | 439.16 | $0.943 | $414.24 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 101.5 | $0.020 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETUp | buy | 69.41 | $0.213 | $14.79 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.070 | $0.79 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of February?No | sell | 80 | $0.947 | $75.75 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will "GOAT" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 89.5 | $0.112 | $10 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.188 | $10.42 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?Yes | buy | 30.86 | $0.324 | $10 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETDown | buy | 57.34 | $0.340 | $19.5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETDown | buy | 28.26 | $0.345 | $9.74 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 87.88 | $0.228 | $20 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 97.57 | $0.143 | $14 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?No | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s market cap be between $800M and $850M at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 158.62 | $0.063 | $10 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 292.31 | $0.051 | $15 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 277.65 | $0.054 | $15 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 257.76 | $0.078 | $20 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?No | sell | 80 | $0.874 | $69.9 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 8.37 | $0.358 | $3 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 68.15 | $0.293 | $20 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 111.86 | $0.447 | $50 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 140.75 | $0.709 | $99.79 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 138.42 | $0.887 | $122.78 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 110.86 | $0.902 | $100 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.250 | $40 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 116.13 | $0.344 | $40 | Feb 11, 2026 |