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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | sell | 124.8 | $0.820 | $102.34 | May 6, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 599.3 |
| $0.462 |
| $276.83 |
| May 6, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 87.28 | $0.433 | $37.77 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 588.8 | $0.766 | $450.96 | May 4, 2026 |
BNB Up or Down on May 4?Down | buy | 7.5 | $0.333 | $2.5 | May 4, 2026 |
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.518 | $51.8 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 538.51 | $0.517 | $278.33 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | sell | 131.06 | $0.967 | $126.79 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTeam Liquid | buy | 119.33 | $0.730 | $87.11 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 571.08 | $0.877 | $500.75 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | sell | 248.2 | $0.958 | $237.71 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 300 | $0.948 | $284.38 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 677.06 | $0.921 | $623.74 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Atletico Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.922 | $92.16 | Jan 23, 2026 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | sell | 65 | $0.540 | $35.1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 130 | $0.390 | $50.7 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Atletico Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | Jan 4, 2026 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 500 | $0.999 | $499.5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of December 29?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.367 | $36.7 | Jan 2, 2026 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.998 | $499 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.998 | $499 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No | sell | 233.14 | $0.780 | $181.85 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No | sell | 107.45 | $0.850 | $91.33 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.690 | $69 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 190 | $0.160 | $30.4 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No | buy | 185 | $0.200 | $37 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 680 | $0.002 | $1.36 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in November?Yes | sell | 1.07 | $0.946 | $1.01 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 340 | $0.001 | $0.34 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 290 | $0.035 | $10.15 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| sell | 1.59K | $0.001 | $1.59 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 4.44 | $0.001 | $0 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| buy | 600 | $0.003 | $1.8 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| buy | 64.42 | $0.339 | $21.84 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| buy | 241 | $0.016 | $3.94 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| buy | 200 | $0.055 | $10.97 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 1K | $0.019 | $19 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?Paul | sell | 199.99 | $0.140 | $28 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 350 | $0.100 | $35 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 119.99 | $0.520 | $62.39 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | sell | 230 | $0.280 | $64.4 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| buy | 200 | $0.455 | $90.96 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in November?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Lighter Airdrop on December 21?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.014 | $0.61 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 62.51 | $0.011 | $0.69 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 15.01 | $0.011 | $0.17 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.016 | $16 | Dec 5, 2025 |