What is the “Modi out by December 31, 2026?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Modi out by December 31, 2026? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
Right now Yes trades at 6.2¢ and No at 93.8¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 6.2% for Yes and 93.8% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($1.3) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($11.66K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$30.84K
No sell at 92.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 60 min sampling · latest observation Sep 13, 10:59 PM
Showing 60 of 500 loaded trade rows.Full archived tape is available through subscriber depth/API retrieval when coverage exists.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
Vultax loaded 368 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 62.2% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 13, 10:58 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/modi-out-before-2027) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
