Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 2.65K | $0.904 | $2.59K | +$193.91 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 116 | $0.862 | $100 | 5h ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.25K |
| $0.888 |
| $2.15K |
| +$150.31 |
 Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 875.27 | $0.914 | $817.94 | +$17.95 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 804.6 | $0.870 | $695.98 | -$4.02 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 626.3 | $0.958 | $600.31 | +$0.31 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 434.94 | $0.920 | $402.32 | +$2.32 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | Yes | 334.03 | $0.895 | $315.65 | +$16.65 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 330.93 | $0.906 | $312.73 | +$12.73 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 354.88 | $0.845 | $308.75 | +$8.75 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 272.53 | $0.942 | $234.24 | -$22.51 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | No | 232.56 | $0.860 | $212.79 | +$12.79 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 209.54 | $0.954 | $198.02 | -$1.98 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | 227.27 | $0.880 | $184.09 | -$15.91 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 107.15 | $0.933 | $101.31 | +$1.32 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100.54 | +$0.54 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 112.61 | $0.888 | $99.1 | -$0.9 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch? | Yes | 110.44 | $0.905 | $92.77 | -$7.23 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 94.87 | $0.569 | $48.86 | -$5.15 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.900 | $15.11 | -$4.89 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 22.78 | $0.439 | $11.45 | +$1.45 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 13.34 | $0.750 | $11 | +$1 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.400 | $10.13 | +$0.13 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.31 | $0.613 | $9.59 | -$0.41 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 12.88 | $0.543 | $6.89 | -$0.11 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch? | Yes | 16.39 | $0.610 | $6.64 | -$3.36 |
| buy |
| 89.89 |
| $0.890 |
| $80 |
| 5h ago |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | 5h ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 229.89 | $0.870 | $200 | 5h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.59K | $0.465 | $739.64 | 5h ago |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | 5h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 159.31 | $0.940 | $149.75 | 6h ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp | buy | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20 | 6h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETDown | buy | 3.06 | $0.980 | $3 | 6h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETDown | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | 6h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | 7h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | 7h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 110.44 | $0.905 | $100 | 7h ago |
 Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | 7h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp | sell | 111.53 | $0.990 | $110.41 | 7h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | 7h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | 7h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp | buy | 4.12 | $0.970 | $4 | 7h ago |
 Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | 7h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 94.12 | $0.850 | $80 | 7h ago |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?Yes | buy | 94.74 | $0.950 | $90 | 7h ago |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | 7h ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 574.71 | $0.870 | $500 | 7h ago |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 3.83 | $0.782 | $3 | 7h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.280 | $0.4 | 7h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 6.75 | $0.160 | $1.08 | 7h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.995 | $1.03 | 7h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 10.56 | $0.947 | $10 | 8h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 7.95 | $0.880 | $7 | 9h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 21.2 | $0.943 | $20 | 9h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 31.91 | $0.940 | $30 | 9h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | 9h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No | buy | 643.83 | $0.932 | $600 | 9h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 888.04 | $0.762 | $676.97 | 9h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.920 | $40 | 11h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No | buy | 918.42 | $0.871 | $800 | 11h ago |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Yes | sell | 898.86 | $0.947 | $851.32 | 11h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No | buy | 29.76 | $0.840 | $25 | 11h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 800 | $0.750 | $600 | 11h ago |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes | sell | 655.2 | $0.975 | $638.64 | 11h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 11h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 54.35 | $0.920 | $50 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 66.08 | $0.780 | $51.54 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.740 | $4 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 32.61 | $0.920 | $30 | 1d ago |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?Yes | sell | 10.46 | $0.967 | $10.11 | 1d ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETUp | buy | 4.14 | $0.965 | $4 | 1d ago |
| Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Dogecoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETUp | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | 1d ago |