Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 13.6 | $0.830 | $12.86 | +$1.56 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 156.4 | $0.940 | $147.02 | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 5.34 |
| $0.937 |
| $5.01 |
| +$0.01 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 4.88 | $0.964 | $4.69 | -$0.01 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.88 | $0.820 | $3.86 | -$0.14 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 4.76 | $0.840 | $3.83 | -$0.17 |
| sell |
| 53.43 |
| $0.954 |
| $50.97 |
| 8d ago |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.34 | $0.937 | $5 | 11d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 169.99 | $0.930 | $158.09 | 11d ago |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 11.49 | $0.930 | $10.69 | 11d ago |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.62 | $0.920 | $10.69 | 11d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 4.88 | $0.964 | $4.7 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | sell | 4.59 | $0.900 | $4.13 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 3.12 | $0.680 | $2.12 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 10.63 | $0.958 | $10.18 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 EU dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 10.39 | $0.967 | $10.05 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.42 | $0.985 | $10.26 | May 25, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | May 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | May 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | buy | 4.6 | $0.870 | $4 | May 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.840 | $4 | May 6, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.830 | $3.11 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 340 | $0.160 | $54.4 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.170 | $57.8 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 10.4 | $0.962 | $10 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETUp | sell | 30.29 | $0.910 | $27.56 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETUp | buy | 29.49 | $0.643 | $18.97 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 387.13 | $0.830 | $321.32 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 20.16 | $0.981 | $19.78 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 22.22 | $0.890 | $19.78 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?No | buy | 4.2 | $0.988 | $4.15 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 7.8 | $0.983 | $7.67 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 4.14 | $0.966 | $4 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?No | sell | 11.67 | $0.997 | $11.63 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31?No | buy | 11.68 | $0.954 | $11.14 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 11.13 | $0.999 | $11.12 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.999 | $11.1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.43 | $0.959 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 21.09 | $0.996 | $21.01 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in March 2026?No | sell | 10.08 | $0.992 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in March 2026?No | buy | 11.03 | $0.994 | $10.96 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in March 2026?No | buy | 10.08 | $0.992 | $10 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 22.22 | $0.942 | $20.93 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 11AM ETUp | buy | 4.34 | $0.530 | $2.3 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 21.4 | $0.935 | $20 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 224.71 | $0.920 | $206.73 | Jan 26, 2026 |