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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.25 | $0.952 | $4.92 | -$0.08 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.25 | $0.952 | $5 | 5d ago |
 |
| No |
| 3.3 |
| $0.909 |
| $3.14 |
| +$0.14 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3.05 | +$0.05 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.75 | $0.800 | $2.91 | -$0.09 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 2.08 | $0.960 | $0.85 | -$1.15 |
| sell |
| 206.53 |
| $0.940 |
| $194.14 |
| 5d ago |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.920 | $5.41 | 5d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 106.39 | $0.930 | $98.94 | 9d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027?No | sell | 3.29 | $0.950 | $3.13 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.800 | $1.7 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.68 | $0.980 | $1.65 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.800 | $3 | May 6, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.902 | $1.52 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.909 | $3 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | sell | 9.62 | $0.990 | $9.52 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 11.02 | $0.980 | $10.8 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 3.09 | $0.971 | $3 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5.89 | $0.870 | $5.12 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 5.13 | $0.997 | $5.11 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.970 | $10.21 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 10.32 | $0.990 | $10.22 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.954 | $5.03 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 4.4 | $0.968 | $4.26 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETUp | buy | 4.24 | $0.879 | $3.73 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.958 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.973 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 6.64 | $0.890 | $5.91 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 5.91 | $0.983 | $5.81 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No | sell | 3.82 | $0.998 | $3.81 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | sell | 2 | $0.997 | $1.99 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 28.75 | $0.954 | $27.43 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 28.14 | $0.975 | $27.44 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.997 | $3.81 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Opinion FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.999 | $5.8 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 126.12 | $0.910 | $114.77 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.966 | $6.36 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.05 | $0.980 | $2.01 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 10.85 | $0.950 | $10.31 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?No | sell | 10.27 | $0.993 | $10.2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 114.89 | $0.890 | $102.25 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 182.93 | $0.820 | $150 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.971 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.981 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 5.27 | $0.992 | $5.23 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 19.82 | $0.993 | $19.68 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 19.83 | $0.991 | $19.65 | Nov 21, 2025 |