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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 123.23 | $0.909 | $116.45 | +$4.45 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.81 | $0.928 | $10.03 | 15d ago |
 |
| No |
| 62.2 |
| $0.880 |
| $59.68 |
| +$4.94 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10.16 | +$0.16 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 12.2 | $0.820 | $9.58 | -$0.42 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 5.68 | $0.910 | $5.45 | +$0.28 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 6.02 | $0.830 | $4.91 | -$0.09 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | No | 3.19 | $0.910 | $2.92 | +$0.02 |
| sell |
| 6.84 |
| $0.790 |
| $5.4 |
| 15d ago |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 8.51 | $0.971 | $8.26 | 15d ago |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 6.17 | $0.850 | $5.24 | 15d ago |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 22.98 | $0.910 | $20.91 | 15d ago |
 Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.966 | $2.03 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.910 | $2.9 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 5.17 | $0.967 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETUp | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETUp | sell | 7.34 | $0.990 | $7.27 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETUp | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.900 | $12 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.939 | $5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 16.3 | $0.920 | $15 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.51 | $0.982 | $5.41 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETUp | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12AM ETUp | buy | 1.54 | $0.780 | $1.2 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETDown | sell | 1.81 | $0.730 | $1.32 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETDown | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | May 20, 2026 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | May 20, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.967 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 198.02 | $0.860 | $170.3 | May 8, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 8.51 | $0.940 | $8 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 19.63 | $0.933 | $18.31 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.52 | $0.939 | $5.18 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.910 | $5.17 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 5.11 | $0.993 | $5.07 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.829 | $2.68 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1AM ETUp | buy | 2.63 | $0.960 | $2.52 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | sell | 2.63 | $0.952 | $2.5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.992 | $2.61 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.976 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.92 | $0.500 | $1.96 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Tennessee State Tigers vs. Southeast Missouri State RedhawksTennessee State Tigers | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Pelicans vs. JazzPelicans | buy | 5.19 | $0.963 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 124.79 | $0.860 | $107.32 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 10.41 | $0.961 | $10 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No | sell | 2.88 | $0.998 | $2.87 | Feb 23, 2026 |