Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 29.77 | $0.950 | $29.5 | +$1.22 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.962 | $1.01 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.09 |
| $0.964 |
| $2.04 |
| +$0.02 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.72 | $0.926 | $1.69 | +$0.09 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.910 | $1.08 | +$0.07 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.950 | $1.05 | +$0.04 |
 Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1.06 | $0.950 | $1.03 | +$0.02 |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.03 | $0.978 | $1.02 | +$0.01 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 1.03 | $0.980 | $1.02 | +$0.01 |
 Trump out as President by September 30? | No | 1.03 | $0.985 | $1.02 | +$0.01 |
 Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1.07 | $0.940 | $1.02 | +$0.01 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.08 | $0.936 | $1.01 | +$0 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | No | 1.12 | $0.900 | $0.96 | -$0.05 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 0.93 | $0.830 | $0.76 | -$0 |
| sell |
| 1.14 |
| $0.892 |
| $1.02 |
| 3d ago |
| Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.985 | $1.01 | 4d ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.34 | $0.989 | $0.34 | 4d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.69 | $0.990 | $0.68 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.967 | $1.01 | 8d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.980 | $1.01 | 12d ago |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.936 | $1.01 | 12d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 1.55 | $0.976 | $1.51 | 12d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.975 | $1.01 | 13d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.983 | $1.01 | 13d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.983 | $1.01 | 13d ago |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.880 | $1.01 | 26d ago |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.950 | $1.01 | 26d ago |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.74 | $0.180 | $0.13 | 28d ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | sell | 0.29 | $0.820 | $0.24 | 28d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.940 | $1.01 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.950 | $1.01 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.71 | $0.550 | $0.94 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.976 | $1.01 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.12 | $0.330 | $1.69 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.73 | $0.220 | $0.16 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.73 | $0.210 | $0.57 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.950 | $1.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.28 | $0.040 | $0.65 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.150 | $0.18 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.28 | $0.062 | $1.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?No | sell | 0.69 | $0.925 | $0.64 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.71 | $0.590 | $1.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?No | sell | 0.86 | $0.871 | $0.75 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.21 | $0.240 | $1.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?No | sell | 0.51 | $0.847 | $0.43 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.31 | $0.160 | $1.01 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.82 | $0.100 | $0.78 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.59 | $0.100 | $0.06 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.929 | $1.01 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.988 | $1.01 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.985 | $1.01 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Grok 5 be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.979 | $1.01 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.992 | $2.02 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.931 | $1.01 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.42 | $0.120 | $1.01 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.989 | $2.04 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.978 | $1.01 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 New pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.830 | $1.01 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.900 | $1.01 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.977 | $1.01 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.978 | $1.01 | Aug 1, 2026 |