Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 18, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Mar 18, 2026 UTC

Topic roomFed and FOMC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
zelb3	Yes	21.71K	1.4%	$302.9
Beloved-Mushroom	Yes	20.04K	10.0%	$2K
marketyoda	Yes	9.95K	0.8%	$82.41	Mar 18, 2:33 AM UTC
Dimario	Yes	9.94K	1.1%	$109.93	Mar 15, 9:15 PM UTC
Bold Lynx 9283	Yes	9.15K	8.5%	$781.62
Tsm999	Yes	7.69K	13.0%	$999.99
truedein	Yes	6.94K	1.7%	$118
Skinny-Cameo	Yes	5.74K	4.1%	$234.31
neutralwave23	Yes	4.59K	1.1%	$48.21	Mar 16, 12:42 AM UTC
Suburban-Shofar	Yes	4.26K	2.3%	$100
Other-Quest	Yes	3.71K	2.7%	$100
5533james	Yes	3.64K	1.6%	$60
Icy-Notepad	Yes	3.53K	1.4%	$50
Firm-Poverty	Yes	3.4K	0.9%	$30
Whiteking1973	Yes	3.38K	5.0%	$169.15
Monumental-Ephemera	Yes	3.25K	0.4%	$13	Mar 18, 4:13 PM UTC
morilun	Yes	3K	0.1%	$3
Live-Instrument	Yes	2.95K	1.7%	$50
Gracious-Enactment	Yes	2.85K	0.6%	$17	Mar 15, 7:01 AM UTC
BetAlwaysLucky	Yes	2.63K	1.9%	$50
Eminent-Motel	Yes	2.61K	0.9%	$23	Mar 18, 8:52 AM UTC
yangguang0511	Yes	2.5K	0.1%	$2.5
Loving-Contrast	Yes	2.11K	0.5%	$10.46	Mar 16, 8:01 AM UTC
Reliable-Default	Yes	1.84K	1.4%	$25	Mar 15, 6:43 PM UTC
Boris444	Yes	1.74K	1.1%	$20
Datallman	Yes	1.68K	24.6%	$412.94
x16z	Yes	1.67K	0.6%	$10	Mar 17, 2:17 PM UTC
richierr	Yes	1.43K	0.7%	$9.91	Mar 16, 2:08 PM UTC
Ryan7272	Yes	1.43K	7.0%	$100
Thorough-Bride	Yes	1.43K	0.6%	$9	Mar 16, 6:50 PM UTC
Ogrowth	Yes	1.38K	1.0%	$13.74
Kosherkid	Yes	1.33K	1.7%	$22.67
Sad-Misnomer	Yes	1.26K	1.3%	$16.1
Closed-Use	Yes	1.25K	0.8%	$10
Violet Horizon 26CB	Yes	1.2K	0.5%	$6	Mar 16, 8:07 PM UTC
Legal-Motel	Yes	1.1K	0.8%	$9	Mar 17, 7:56 AM UTC
Disastrous-Maracas	Yes	1.08K	1.4%	$15
2Fast4u246	Yes	1.04K	0.9%	$10
Frizzy-Article	Yes	1K	0.4%	$4	Mar 18, 4:56 PM UTC
Wet-Chamber	Yes	1K	0.8%	$8	Mar 16, 3:49 PM UTC
Peaceful-Angel	Yes	928.16	1.6%	$15
rogerhat	Yes	909.45	0.8%	$7
ACara	Yes	869.46	0.3%	$2.61	Mar 17, 10:00 PM UTC
Crz2	Yes	848.74	4.7%	$39.56
waytotriffamansion	Yes	824.21	2.8%	$22.85
Violet Maven 85BF	Yes	769.59	0.6%	$4.62	Mar 16, 4:16 PM UTC
iiiijiijjijiijiiii	Yes	750	36.0%	$269.7
Rosy-Artist	Yes	743.33	0.5%	$4	Mar 16, 8:08 AM UTC
Perfumed-Stopwatch	Yes	728.22	1.4%	$10
KarasDegen	Yes	670.04	1.8%	$12.12
Harshjain2826	Yes	628.96	1.6%	$10
SnakeMaster5	Yes	625	0.8%	$5
herklas321	Yes	606.07	0.7%	$4.5	Mar 18, 8:42 AM UTC
Uneven-Pomegranate	Yes	575.67	0.5%	$3.05	Mar 16, 4:07 PM UTC
Solar Kestrel 669D	Yes	544.32	0.6%	$3.27	Mar 16, 12:11 PM UTC
arbtrader	Yes	530.78	3.8%	$20.17
Regular-Agriculture	Yes	499.98	0.4%	$2	Mar 15, 8:26 PM UTC
Appleberrypie52	Yes	416.67	1.2%	$5
TheTradingGuy17	Yes	400	1.1%	$4.5	Mar 16, 11:45 AM UTC
crypto3	Yes	400	1.5%	$6
StashMolly	Yes	400	0.5%	$2	Mar 16, 7:06 PM UTC
neutrade.space	Yes	400	1.0%	$4
Frightened-Tarragon	Yes	399.96	53.5%	$213.98
SERIOUSBLACK00	Yes	391.11	1.0%	$3.83
PaiDaCalia	Yes	388.85	16.7%	$64.8
Naiv2002	Yes	386.2	41.6%	$160.74
Competent-Crayon	Yes	375	0.8%	$3
Clumsy-Pear	Yes	369.71	1.8%	$6.5
Dearest-Meeting	Yes	367.54	0.5%	$2	Mar 16, 7:15 AM UTC
Golden Sphinx BDF5	Yes	309.5	2.0%	$6.19
WgyWrigggy	Yes	309.05	1.6%	$5
CAPUNG48	Yes	307.89	1.3%	$4
LukeAlpha	Yes	300	1.0%	$3
kiddytoshi	Yes	298	0.5%	$1.49	Mar 16, 8:09 PM UTC
CoreyWSGan	Yes	290.24	1.7%	$5
Doginme69	Yes	271.43	0.7%	$2	Mar 16, 1:27 AM UTC
MyLastStand	Yes	263.16	1.9%	$5
skymnok1	Yes	250	0.8%	$2
kim2017	Yes	250	0.8%	$2
Violet Meteor 9E1E	Yes	250	0.6%	$1.5	Mar 15, 4:07 AM UTC
tawadeu	Yes	243.59	0.8%	$2	Mar 16, 8:45 AM UTC
dylanwienke	Yes	238.81	2.1%	$5
StronkBoy	Yes	222.22	0.9%	$2
Long-Term-Aim	Yes	216.86	2.3%	$5
rastoscx	Yes	214	0.7%	$1.5	Mar 17, 4:13 PM UTC
anoa.nex	Yes	211.11	0.9%	$1.9
0xRocket666	Yes	200	0.1%	$0.2
nlmgb	Yes	200	0.6%	$1.2	Mar 17, 11:13 AM UTC
mumu1555	Yes	200	10.0%	$20
Hodlx	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
stivi01	Yes	178.57	0.7%	$1.25	Mar 17, 6:28 PM UTC
ArtemiusSinopskiy	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1	Mar 15, 11:46 AM UTC
isjzz	Yes	161.92	61.8%	$100
Piercing-Dignity	Yes	154.18	3.2%	$5
mand01	Yes	152.68	2.0%	$3
Clever-Ruffle	Yes	150	2.0%	$3
Keen Oracle 680C	Yes	146.4	0.7%	$1.08	Mar 17, 7:03 PM UTC
Wet-Suffocation	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1	Mar 17, 6:06 PM UTC
Quiet Voyager 246F	Yes	142	0.7%	$0.99
Chocoflan	Yes	141.11	0.7%	$1	Mar 17, 1:18 AM UTC
laoxie	Yes	140.56	0.7%	$1	Mar 16, 5:10 PM UTC
Palatable-Netbook	Yes	139.25	0.7%	$1	Mar 18, 10:51 AM UTC
yueyue00	Yes	132.18	0.8%	$1
gjb4728	Yes	131.95	0.8%	$1
Christian-7	Yes	127.47	23.5%	$30
RF-RESEARCH	Yes	125	0.8%	$1
noniinsidertrader	Yes	125	0.8%	$1
ampulapulamare	Yes	125	0.8%	$1
clockertime	Yes	125	1.6%	$2
Azure Vector 45F9	Yes	124.87	3.3%	$4.16
Uneven-Cactus	Yes	119.77	0.8%	$1	Mar 16, 10:56 AM UTC
Chicocarnemolida	Yes	117.65	1.7%	$2
RS77	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1
Usernamenotaccepted7	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1
Mehk3y	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1
walex121212	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1
Bronze-Wind	Yes	108.89	0.9%	$1
839mdl	Yes	108.41	1.5%	$1.62
Sergeyom	Yes	108.02	0.9%	$1
Tense-Palace	Yes	107.25	9.3%	$10
Recent-Enzyme	Yes	105.56	9.5%	$10
Flyterhall	Yes	105.16	0.9%	$1
Cobalt Pioneer F77D	Yes	100.5	1.0%	$1	Mar 17, 9:48 PM UTC
sprinters	Yes	100	1.0%	$1
dinosha	Yes	100	1.0%	$1
Umbucaca	Yes	100	2.0%	$2
Defiant-Clutch	Yes	100	1.0%	$1
Compassionate-Borrowing	Yes	100	10.0%	$10
ATKR	Yes	100	1.0%	$1
ppstar	Yes	100	0.5%	$0.5
Shmial	Yes	100	1.0%	$1	Mar 15, 8:34 AM UTC
Varma6	Yes	100	1.0%	$1	Mar 17, 10:04 AM UTC
Responsible-Clutch	Yes	99.21	10.1%	$10
Xiarenzhuxin	Yes	92.86	1.4%	$1.3
HurrSurr	Yes	92.73	1.1%	$1
Oleyyman	Yes	90.91	11.0%	$10
Chickenleg	Yes	86.96	23.0%	$20
Silent-Tadpole	Yes	85.08	1.2%	$1	Mar 14, 4:40 PM UTC
goBig-or-goHome	Yes	80.06	6.2%	$5
TooPoorRightNow	Yes	76.19	2.1%	$1.6
Lukas26	Yes	75	40.0%	$30
bod245	Yes	71.43	1.4%	$1
Watchful-Blight	Yes	67.67	1.5%	$1
Venetims	Yes	66.67	1.5%	$1
Showy-Peacoat	Yes	66.67	1.5%	$1
DARSHANShetty	Yes	66.67	1.5%	$1
kao	Yes	66.67	1.5%	$1
Cobalt Kestrel 613F	Yes	64.69	15.4%	$10
Venerated-Landing	Yes	62.5	1.6%	$1
Grand-Someone	Yes	59.48	1.7%	$1
nowaylol	Yes	55.54	16.0%	$8.89
BigRings	Yes	54	3.8%	$2.05
Lunar Quasar 8201	Yes	54	0.4%	$0.22	Mar 16, 1:06 PM UTC
Pimzao	Yes	53.81	20.4%	$11
Isabellka	Yes	52.88	1.9%	$1
kaylad	Yes	52.63	1.9%	$1
Cronio	Yes	50	1.0%	$0.5
ab176	Yes	50	1.2%	$0.59	Mar 14, 6:09 PM UTC
normieholocaust	Yes	50	13.0%	$6.5
marcusaudacious	Yes	50	4.0%	$2
tttdd	Yes	48.79	2.3%	$1.1
Warlike-Rosemary	Yes	48.03	41.6%	$20
Comfy1	Yes	45.45	55.0%	$25
th997	Yes	44.87	24.9%	$11.17
libc	Yes	44.35	22.5%	$10
Quiet Kestrel AB6E	Yes	41.67	2.4%	$1
kakurlsan	Yes	37.5	8.0%	$3
Keen Quasar 806A	Yes	35.71	56.0%	$20
Borello	Yes	34.5	2.7%	$0.93
Hasluck	Yes	33.98	58.9%	$20
Frightening-Editor	Yes	33.3	60.1%	$20
Punctual-Band	Yes	31.55	40.0%	$12.62
AirdropAlert	Yes	30.76	3.3%	$1
xiaoniba123	Yes	30.3	3.3%	$1
paas2	Yes	30.01	14.0%	$4.21	Mar 18, 10:06 AM UTC
5uhar1	Yes	25.64	39.0%	$10
GNDCOOL	Yes	25	8.0%	$2
Jsiverio	Yes	25	12.0%	$3
deckarddroid	Yes	23.57	21.2%	$5
Celestia09	Yes	23.08	26.0%	$6
igorgonc	Yes	23	8.0%	$1.84
blueblock	Yes	20.73	44.4%	$9.21
acidicdrool	Yes	19.35	51.7%	$10
vitaliksgirlfriend	No	18.6	96.7%	$17.99
pbg777	Yes	18.18	55.0%	$10
Tame-Cattle	Yes	15.05	43.9%	$6.6
Ankitgpt07ki	Yes	15	10.0%	$1.5
mnlo	Yes	14.99	38.0%	$5.7
jfuyf6f67dytdyrtd	Yes	14.78	54.1%	$8
Unequaled-Promotion	Yes	14.49	6.9%	$1
krlersatz	Yes	14.29	7.0%	$1
Exciting-Nutrient	Yes	14.29	7.0%	$1
Elderly-Accent	Yes	14.29	7.0%	$1
FineWin3	Yes	13.04	23.0%	$3
lbh8	Yes	11.12	17.0%	$1.89
Sieronurb	Yes	11.11	9.0%	$1
Alvaroru	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
oager	Yes	10	37.0%	$3.7
abc1231112441	Yes	10	5.0%	$0.5
hesure	Yes	10	5.0%	$0.5
Yolo-My-Saving	Yes	10	35.0%	$3.5
Spive	No	10	64.0%	$6.4
Our-Conviction	Yes	9.68	31.0%	$3
CloudXKid	Yes	8.33	12.0%	$1
hedge2bet	Yes	8.33	12.0%	$1
tnohra	Yes	5.88	17.0%	$1
Quiet Comet 2B5D	No	5.52	96.0%	$5.3
Arakne	Yes	5	28.0%	$1.4
bigotry	Yes	5	40.0%	$2
Damoclec	Yes	5	20.0%	$1
rocketcrypto	Yes	5	1.0%	$0.05
Ivory Meteor 0BDA	Yes	5	0.6%	$0.03
jjzzh	Yes	5	0.1%	$0.01
Athletic-Tendency	Yes	5	0.8%	$0.04
rikitikitaki	Yes	5	0.1%	$0.01
Misty Falcon DADF	No	5	94.0%	$4.7
Gutocn75	Yes	4.76	21.0%	$1
Other-Question	Yes	4.55	22.0%	$1
Theburntfool	Yes	4.35	23.0%	$1
Terrific-Lover	Yes	4.35	23.0%	$1
malhechor	Yes	4	25.0%	$1
Alexandr01	Yes	3.85	26.0%	$1
notmuchaye	Yes	3.57	56.0%	$2
DavisEthan	No	3.08	97.3%	$3
Quiet Beacon BE4E	No	2.54	69.0%	$1.75
tissej	No	2.03	98.7%	$2
Harrowquell	No	2.01	99.3%	$2
testkus	No	2.01	99.4%	$2
gold55986	No	2.01	99.5%	$2	Mar 18, 11:00 AM UTC
Violet Lynx DD4A	Yes	2	50.0%	$1
Willing-Commerce	Yes	1.96	51.0%	$1
oak	Yes	1.89	5.6%	$0.11
Juvenile-Thumb	No	1.02	97.7%	$1
nomid	No	1.01	98.6%	$1
riyos	No	1.01	98.6%	$1
elo989	No	1.01	98.7%	$1
nanmon	No	1.01	98.9%	$1
kingofleeio	No	1.01	98.9%	$1
folaw	No	1.01	99.3%	$1
little9364	No	1.01	99.4%	$1
Whxbt	No	1.01	99.5%	$1
Villainous-Cabinet	No	1	99.7%	$1	Mar 17, 3:01 AM UTC
Quiet Quasar D05F	No	1	99.3%	$0.99
Royal Pioneer 55D9	Yes	0.99	9.0%	$0.09	Mar 18, 10:38 AM UTC
Ivory Raven 2398	Yes	0.75	17.0%	$0.13

245 of 245 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
vitaliksgirlfriend	$18.6
Spive	$10
Quiet Comet 2B5D	$5.52

Topic room

Read this market in context

Fed and FOMC oddsWhat will the Fed do at its next meeting?

Research behind the numbers

Analytics