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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Discord IPO before 2027? | No | 15.64 | $0.128 | $13.31 | +$11.31 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 3.7 |
| $0.270 |
| $3.39 |
| +$2.39 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1.7 | +$0.7 |
 Epic Games IPO before 2027? | No | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1.65 | +$0.65 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1.61 | +$0.61 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 8.82 | $0.227 | $1.28 | -$0.72 |
 Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? | No | 1.4 | $0.714 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 10.64 | $0.188 | $1.2 | -$0.8 |
 Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | No | 3.91 | $0.511 | $1.06 | -$0.94 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 2.22 | $0.450 | $0.66 | -$0.34 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $0.61 | -$0.39 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.43 | -$0.57 |
 ECB rate cut in 2026? | Yes | 7.28 | $0.275 | $0.33 | -$1.67 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 2.95 | $0.339 | $0.19 | -$0.81 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? | Yes | 2.33 | $0.430 | $0.12 | -$0.88 |
| sell |
| 1.03 |
| $0.981 |
| $1.01 |
| Jul 10, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| ECB rate cut in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.53 | $0.181 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.714 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.52 | $0.133 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| ECB rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.986 | $16.43 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.390 | $1.13 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.95 | $0.339 | $1 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Discord IPO before 2027?No | buy | 5.54 | $0.180 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Epic Games IPO before 2027?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| ECB rate cut in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Discord IPO before 2027?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.099 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.067 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Kanye visit Israel by December 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 29m?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.069 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |