Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 10.21 | $0.098 | $0.19 | -$0.81 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 12.82 |
| $0.078 |
| $0.02 |
| -$0.98 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 20.83 | $0.048 | $0.01 | -$0.99 |
| sell |
| 4 |
| $0.300 |
| $1.2 |
| May 28, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.098 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 13.88 | $0.097 | $1.35 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No | sell | 2.38 | $0.310 | $0.74 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.072 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.078 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.44 | $0.470 | $1.62 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.450 | $1.32 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.025 | $0.25 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 4.36 | $0.073 | $0.32 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 4.13 | $0.238 | $0.98 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 4.37 | $0.229 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 4.13 | $0.242 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?Yes | buy | 2.36 | $0.550 | $1.3 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.940 | $3.23 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 29?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.194 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 26?Down | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.066 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. ValenciaValencia | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 3.24 | $0.312 | $1.01 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.210 | $0.95 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.410 | $1.03 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 173.33 | $0.006 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.160 | $1.07 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 11?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.070 | $1.5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10?Down | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |