Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.7K | $0.002 | $9.4 | Jul 28, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 5K |
| $0.001 |
| $5 |
| Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.011 | $5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 83.11 | $0.060 | $5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.038 | $5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 131.81 | $0.038 | $5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 910.91 | $0.011 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.012 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?Yes | buy | 45.26 | $0.442 | $20 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 90.03 | $0.830 | $74.72 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison be richest person on October 31?Yes | buy | 271.04 | $0.018 | $5 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.019 | $5 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Larry Ellison be richest person on October 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.037 | $3.7 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Aug 31, 2025 |