Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.600 | $1.56 | -$8.44 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.703 | $5.41 | Feb 27, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 11.11 |
| $0.270 |
| $0.9 |
| -$2.1 |
| buy |
| 11.12 |
| $0.170 |
| $1.89 |
| Feb 8, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.21 | $0.340 | $3.81 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will 01.xyz reach $5B in total volume by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Jan 24, 2026 |
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Jan 24, 2026 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 11.83 | $0.930 | $11 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | sell | 14.7 | $0.680 | $10 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 8.6 | $0.930 | $8 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | sell | 4.21 | $0.740 | $3.12 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 3.48 | $0.999 | $3.48 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Julie Masino out as Cracker Barrel CEO in 2025?No | sell | 14.89 | $0.995 | $14.82 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 8.7 | $0.996 | $8.67 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 5.74 | $0.500 | $2.87 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?No | sell | 2.43 | $0.100 | $0.24 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Kinetiq FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?Yes | buy | 6.03 | $0.300 | $1.81 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will Sydney Sweeney rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2025?Yes | buy | 36.59 | $0.820 | $30 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.04 | $0.220 | $0.45 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.080 | $0.64 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 3.48 | $0.790 | $2.75 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | sell | 7.51 | $0.298 | $2.24 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Julie Masino out as Cracker Barrel CEO in 2025?No | buy | 14.89 | $0.940 | $14 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.590 | $3 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 8.71 | $0.919 | $8 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes | sell | 3.71 | $0.998 | $3.7 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 57.09 | $0.510 | $29.12 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 4.21 | $0.470 | $1.98 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes | buy | 3.71 | $0.800 | $2.97 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 57.09 | $0.530 | $30.26 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Israel withdraws from Syria in 2025?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 2?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?No | buy | 16.22 | $0.370 | $6 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?No | sell | 11.53 | $0.977 | $11.26 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.520 | $4 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Oct 30, 2025 |