Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?No | buy | 199.86 | $0.285 | $57 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 76.62 |
| $0.890 |
| $68.19 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.63 | $0.809 | $62 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?Yes | sell | 111.58 | $0.550 | $61.37 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?Yes | buy | 111.59 | $0.529 | $59 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 221.53 | $0.270 | $59.81 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 221.54 | $0.650 | $144 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No | sell | 170 | $0.820 | $139.4 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.096 | $57.75 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | sell | 236.15 | $0.085 | $19.99 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 236.16 | $0.127 | $30 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 165.47 | $0.840 | $138.99 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 165.48 | $0.840 | $139 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | sell | 189.63 | $0.733 | $138.95 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 189.64 | $0.786 | $149 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | sell | 201.56 | $0.738 | $148.72 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 201.56 | $0.640 | $129 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?No | sell | 174.64 | $0.740 | $129.23 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 174.65 | $0.710 | $124 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 132.19 | $0.940 | $124.26 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 132.18 | $0.870 | $115 | May 29, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.512 | $51.17 | May 29, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | May 29, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | sell | 141.26 | $0.730 | $103.12 | May 29, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | buy | 141.27 | $0.743 | $105 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 126.36 | $0.840 | $106.14 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 126.37 | $0.730 | $92.25 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?No | sell | 51.13 | $0.380 | $19.43 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | sell | 82.09 | $0.880 | $72.24 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 82.09 | $0.670 | $55 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No | sell | 200.8 | $0.104 | $20.81 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | sell | 55.55 | $0.591 | $32.83 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?No | buy | 4.46 | $0.280 | $1.25 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?No | buy | 46.68 | $0.279 | $13 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No | buy | 200.8 | $0.100 | $20 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | sell | 218.75 | $0.042 | $9.19 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 218.75 | $0.160 | $35 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.251 | $62.65 | May 5, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MaySomething | sell | 101.12 | $0.210 | $21.24 | May 5, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MaySomething | buy | 101.13 | $0.240 | $24.27 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | sell | 46.52 | $0.440 | $20.47 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | buy | 45.41 | $0.420 | $19.07 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | sell | 39.53 | $0.370 | $14.63 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 31.96 | $0.850 | $27.17 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | buy | 38.6 | $0.420 | $16.21 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes | sell | 69.2 | $0.750 | $51.9 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes | buy | 56.52 | $0.510 | $28.82 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Apr 2, 2026 |