Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.800 | $1.7 | Mar 1, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 1.09 |
| $0.920 |
| $1.05 |
| +$0.05 |
 Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 1.75 | $0.570 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
| buy |
| 7.14 |
| $0.140 |
| $1 |
| Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of January 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.385 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,500 on the final trading day of January 2026?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Job" 15+ times during January press conference?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January?Yes | buy | 144.29 | $0.007 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Kristi Noem out by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.334 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of January?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of January?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.949 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.626 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will 410 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?No | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | sell | 182.62 | $0.150 | $27.39 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 78.26 | $0.390 | $30.52 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | buy | 105.29 | $0.140 | $14.74 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 104.36 | $0.479 | $50 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?No | buy | 19.31 | $0.259 | $5 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 138.89 | $0.360 | $50 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?Yes | buy | 41.19 | $0.590 | $24.3 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?No | buy | 41.32 | $0.380 | $15.7 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Sep 19, 2025 |