Latest trade
Apr 7, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:36 AM UTC.
Analytics
Negative-Wisteria is down $13.36 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 14 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-09 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 7, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:36 AM UTC.
$1.01 median trade
Its latest 49 trades covered 27 markets; 73.5% were buys. They run from Jun 18, 2025 UTC to Apr 7, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 13.71 | $0.309 | $0.75 | -$3.48 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-09 00:31 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 08:36 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
49 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 08:36 UTC
polymarket positions
16 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-09 00:31 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $7.43 and losing ones cost $0.06 across 14 settled positions. 92.9% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.39 on “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $0.06 on “Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 7 Apr 2026. It has traded 27 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.25 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 1.72 |
| $0.580 |
| $0.25 |
| -$0.75 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 2.63 | $0.380 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
| buy |
| 1.72 |
| $0.580 |
| $1 |
| Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.59 | $0.998 | $2.58 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.59 | $0.220 | $1.23 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.370 | $3 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | sell | 7.35 | $0.520 | $3.82 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.272 | $2 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 6.92 | $0.728 | $5.04 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 6.92 | $0.722 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 11.19 | $0.480 | $5.37 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.2 | $0.610 | $6.83 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.17 | $0.953 | $6.83 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.18 | $0.620 | $4.45 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump resign in 2025?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.16 | $0.071 | $1 | Sep 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 27, 2025 UTC |
 Trump x Khamenei talk before July?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.980 | $1.05 | Jun 25, 2025 UTC |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 27?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.134 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before July?No | sell | 3.08 | $0.986 | $3.04 | Jun 24, 2025 UTC |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | Jun 24, 2025 UTC |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 22?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before July?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.975 | $3.01 | Jun 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 UTC |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 22?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.310 | $0.94 | Jun 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 UTC |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 UTC |
 US military action against Iran before August?Yes | sell | 7.71 | $0.999 | $7.7 | Jun 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Jun 20, 2025 UTC |
 Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?No | buy | 2 | $0.740 | $1.48 | Jun 19, 2025 UTC |
| US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.630 | $1.26 | Jun 19, 2025 UTC |
| US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.750 | $1.01 | Jun 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 UTC |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 1.54 | $0.646 | $0.99 | Jun 19, 2025 UTC |
| US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 UTC |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 1.55 | $0.646 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 UTC |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.982 | $1.01 | Jun 19, 2025 UTC |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 20?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.987 | $1.01 | Jun 19, 2025 UTC |
| Trump x Khamenei talk before July?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 UTC |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 UTC |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 UTC |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 20?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 UTC |
| US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.750 | $2.25 | Jun 18, 2025 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.600 | $1.8 | Jun 18, 2025 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.