Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 70 | $0.240 | $2.35 | -$14.46 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | Jan 7, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.090 |
| $4.5 |
| Jan 7, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.280 | $15.4 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before September?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.140 | $2.1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
US x Iran ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Jun 23, 2025 |
US x Iran ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Jun 23, 2025 |
US x Iran ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 12.49 | $0.590 | $7.37 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?No | sell | 15 | $0.700 | $10.5 | Jun 20, 2025 |
Trump travel ban on more countries before July?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.090 | $2.7 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Trump travel ban on more countries before July?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.090 | $2.7 | Jun 18, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?No | buy | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | Jun 17, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?No | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Jun 15, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Jun 14, 2025 |
Will Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?No | sell | 1.94 | $0.910 | $1.77 | Jun 13, 2025 |
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?No | buy | 15 | $0.340 | $5.1 | Jun 10, 2025 |
Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Jun 7, 2025 |
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?No | buy | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | Jun 3, 2025 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.470 | $7.05 | May 31, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.004 | $0.12 | May 28, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by May 31?Yes | sell | 31.39 | $0.050 | $1.57 | May 28, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?No | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | May 27, 2025 |
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.100 | $1.5 | May 26, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | May 16, 2025 |
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | May 14, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Economic Development" during Gulf Leaders Summit on May 14?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | May 13, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | May 12, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | May 10, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by May 31?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.380 | $1.41 | May 3, 2025 |
Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.958 | $1.51 | May 3, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?Yes | sell | 1.57 | $0.140 | $0.22 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | May 2, 2025 |
Will Poilievre say "Immigration" 3+ times during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.750 | $10.5 | Apr 17, 2025 |
Will McLaren have the second-highest Constructor score at the Saudi Arabian GP?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Apr 15, 2025 |
Will McLaren have the second-highest Constructor score at the Saudi Arabian GP?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Apr 15, 2025 |
Will the Liberal party lead by 8-9% on April 18?No | sell | 1.15 | $0.970 | $1.12 | Apr 15, 2025 |
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 35 | $0.450 | $15.75 | Apr 7, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.140 | $15.4 | Apr 5, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.100 | $1.5 | Apr 5, 2025 |
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Manitoba in the next Canadian Election?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Apr 4, 2025 |
Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?No | buy | 35 | $0.200 | $7 | Apr 4, 2025 |
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?No | buy | 40.54 | $0.370 | $15 | Apr 4, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Apr 4, 2025 |
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.510 | $12 | Apr 4, 2025 |