Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 93.8%. Yes opened at 37% on 6 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 172 daily closes on record from 6 Jun 2025 to 24 Nov 2025, the highest close was 93.8% on 24 Nov 2025 and the lowest 1.8% on 23 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 92 points up, to 93.8% on 24 Nov 2025. $80.23K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 25, 8:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 172 points, 6 Jun 2025 – 24 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jun 2025 | 37.0% |
| 24 Nov 2025 | 93.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| vainglorious87 | No | 3.3K |
| funding | No | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 765 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) will be terminated before its currently scheduled end date of July 4, 2026, at any point on or before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official policy announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, restructuring announcements that do not specify termination, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal announcement of early termination will not be considered. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-end-the-department-of-government-efficiency-in-2025
| ckzvn | No | 513.23 |
| collectorr | No | 499.99 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 235 |
| Kickstand7 | No | 224.31 |
| Parliament | No | 219.78 |
| sh31349 | No | 163 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 147 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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