Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.53K | $0.848 | $1.26K | -$43.36 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.008 | $400 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 947.41 |
| $0.590 |
| $753.19 |
| +$194.22 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50K | $0.008 | $125 | -$274.98 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | No | 250 | $0.840 | $58.75 | -$151.25 |
| buy |
| 83.33 |
| $0.060 |
| $5 |
| May 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | May 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.720 | $5.76 | May 1, 2026 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | May 1, 2026 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.790 | $23.7 | May 1, 2026 |
 California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?No | buy | 260.2 | $0.870 | $226.49 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.22 | $0.790 | $7.28 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 992.1 | $0.880 | $873.04 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?No | buy | 947.41 | $0.590 | $558.97 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 250 | $0.840 | $210 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 3.48K | $0.969 | $3.37K | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Nik Airball be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?No | sell | 125 | $0.760 | $95 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Nik Airball be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?No | sell | 40 | $0.800 | $32 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Nik Airball be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Nik Airball be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?No | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Nik Airball be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?No | buy | 100 | $0.746 | $74.6 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Nik Airball be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?No | buy | 40 | $0.720 | $28.8 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Steve be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?No | buy | 5.52K | $0.999 | $5.51K | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Peter be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?No | buy | 150 | $0.880 | $132 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Steve be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.110 | $55 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Senor Tilt be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.110 | $16.5 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 HCL Million Dollar Marathon: Alan Keating VPIP above 70%?No | buy | 154.06 | $0.754 | $116.1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Dodgers vs. Blue JaysBlue Jays | buy | 4K | $0.460 | $1.84K | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Dodgers vs. Blue JaysBlue Jays | buy | 341.73 | $0.450 | $153.78 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 9.46K | $0.929 | $8.78K | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.32K | $0.864 | $2K | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast raise between $40m and $41m by midnight?Yes | buy | 6.74K | $0.980 | $6.6K | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast raise between $40m and $41m by midnight?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.980 | $980 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?No | buy | 333.5 | $0.500 | $166.75 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?No | buy | 1K | $0.380 | $380 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?No | buy | 53 | $0.500 | $26.5 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?No | buy | 10.34 | $0.660 | $6.82 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?No | buy | 57.54 | $0.510 | $29.35 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?No | buy | 90 | $0.640 | $57.6 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?No | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 26?Yes | buy | 92.18 | $0.640 | $59 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?No | buy | 200 | $0.160 | $32 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.62K | $0.870 | $2.28K | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 91.09 | $0.082 | $7.47 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 341 | $0.076 | $25.92 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.068 | $1.63 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.180 | $4.5 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.247 | $24.7 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.700 | $3.5K | Jul 5, 2025 |