Latest trade
Jun 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 7:51 AM UTC.
Analytics
vainglorious87 is down $35.16K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-12 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 7:51 AM UTC.
$30.67 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 20 markets; 94.0% were buys. They run from Aug 27, 2025 UTC to Jun 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.53K | $0.848 | $1.35K | +$48.72 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.008 | $400 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-12 19:26 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 07:51 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 07:51 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-12 19:26 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $40.55K and losing ones cost $48.05K across the latest 50 settled positions. 72% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.05K on “Will the missing submarine be found by June 23?” (Yes); the largest loss, $33.94K on “Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Jun 2026. It has traded 174 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.3K across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 947.41 |
| $0.590 |
| $843.19 |
| +$284.22 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50K | $0.008 | $75 | -$324.98 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | No | 250 | $0.840 | $31.25 | -$178.75 |
| buy |
| 83.33 |
| $0.060 |
| $5 |
| May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | May 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | May 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | May 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | May 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.720 | $5.76 | May 1, 2026 UTC |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | May 1, 2026 UTC |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.790 | $23.7 | May 1, 2026 UTC |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 462.2 | $0.790 | $365.14 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
 California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?No | buy | 260.2 | $0.870 | $226.49 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.790 | $3.76 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.790 | $18.81 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.22 | $0.790 | $7.28 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 992.1 | $0.880 | $873.04 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?No | buy | 947.41 | $0.590 | $558.97 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 250 | $0.840 | $210 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
 Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 3.48K | $0.969 | $3.37K | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Nik Airball be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?No | sell | 125 | $0.760 | $95 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Nik Airball be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?No | sell | 40 | $0.800 | $32 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Nik Airball be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Nik Airball be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?No | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Nik Airball be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?No | buy | 100 | $0.746 | $74.6 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Nik Airball be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?No | buy | 40 | $0.720 | $28.8 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Steve be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?No | buy | 5.52K | $0.999 | $5.51K | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will Peter be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?No | buy | 150 | $0.880 | $132 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Steve be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.110 | $55 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Senor Tilt be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.110 | $16.5 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
 HCL Million Dollar Marathon: Alan Keating VPIP above 70%?No | buy | 154.06 | $0.754 | $116.1 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
 Dodgers vs. Blue JaysBlue Jays | buy | 4K | $0.460 | $1.84K | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Dodgers vs. Blue JaysBlue Jays | buy | 341.73 | $0.450 | $153.78 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 9.46K | $0.929 | $8.78K | Oct 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.32K | $0.864 | $2K | Sep 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will MrBeast raise between $40m and $41m by midnight?Yes | buy | 6.74K | $0.980 | $6.6K | Sep 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will MrBeast raise between $40m and $41m by midnight?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.980 | $980 | Sep 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?No | buy | 333.5 | $0.500 | $166.75 | Aug 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?No | buy | 1K | $0.380 | $380 | Aug 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?No | buy | 53 | $0.500 | $26.5 | Aug 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?No | buy | 42 | $0.630 | $26.46 | Aug 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?No | buy | 10 | $0.630 | $6.3 | Aug 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?No | buy | 10.34 | $0.660 | $6.82 | Aug 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?No | buy | 57.54 | $0.510 | $29.35 | Aug 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?No | buy | 90 | $0.640 | $57.6 | Aug 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?No | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Aug 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes | sell | 67.03 | $0.500 | $33.52 | Aug 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.260 | $2.11 | Aug 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.220 | $8.8 | Aug 27, 2025 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.