Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Dec 2025.
$51.35K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 4, 4:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 3 Dec 2025, chart shows 20%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | 26.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| helec | Yes | 4.51K |
| Trololoev | Yes | 2.08K |
| Lulek93 | Yes | 1.35K |
| ewweddw | Yes | 1K |
| reckless26 | Yes | 821.94 |
| Arcenio | Yes | 250 |
| daniz | Yes | 200.12 |
| qian01 | Yes | 200 |
| Violent-Obsidian | Yes | 186.43 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 149.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alan Keating has a VPIP above 70% during the Hustler Casino Live “Million Dollar Marathon” scheduled for December 2, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to"No". VPIP refers to the percentage of hands in which a player voluntarily contributes money to the pot, not including the blinds. Only hands played during the live-streamed “Million Dollar Marathon" event will count towards this market’s resolution. If Keating does not play in the Hustler Casino Live “Million Dollar Marathon”, or the event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2025, or otherwise does not occur during this timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the official live stream of this event. If the live stream becomes unavailable, this market will resolve according to official information from Hustler Casino Live.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hcl-million-dollar-marathon-alan-keating-vpip-above-70
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