Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 4 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 4 Jan 2026 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 41.5% on 4 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 20.5% on 5 Jan 2026. $569.37K traded over the market's life.
291 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 17, 11:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 4 Jan 2026 – 1 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | 41.5% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anoin123 | Yes | 31.81K |
| Golomolo69 | Yes | 8.5K |
| Aaaaaguess | Yes | 4.85K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-forces-in-venezuela-again-by
| Yes |
| 3.88K |
| 19servingtimers | Yes | 3.42K |
| xxxTeeMxxx | Yes | 3.18K |
| Stimulating-Brow | Yes | 2.38K |
| High-Hospitality | Yes | 1.99K |
| ivanovaloha | Yes | 1.47K |
| gritsma | Yes | 1.12K |
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