Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump visit Russia before July?No | sell | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 95 |
| $0.160 |
| $15.2 |
| Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.911 | $13.67 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 14.18 | $0.180 | $2.55 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | sell | 46.51 | $0.580 | $26.98 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 51.72 | $0.580 | $30 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | sell | 50 | $0.420 | $21 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before July?No | sell | 60 | $0.090 | $5.4 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will Putin visit the U.S. before July?Yes | buy | 280 | $0.078 | $21.9 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will the Left be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 75.15 | $0.033 | $2.5 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will another coalition form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 108.55 | $0.034 | $3.69 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 83.34 | $0.045 | $3.75 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 59.98 | $0.044 | $2.64 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9?No | buy | 54 | $0.840 | $45.36 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?Putin | sell | 20.17 | $0.610 | $12.3 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | sell | 44.62 | $0.712 | $31.75 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?Yes | sell | 14.99 | $0.670 | $10.04 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | sell | 93.24 | $0.583 | $54.33 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before July?No | buy | 81.08 | $0.308 | $25 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before July?No | buy | 254.03 | $0.295 | $75 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 186.49 | $0.429 | $80 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 120.37 | $0.540 | $65 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 169.01 | $0.710 | $120 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Will another coalition form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 118.25 | $0.042 | $5 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.178 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 81.56 | $0.245 | $20 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | sell | 5.27 | $0.350 | $1.84 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump sanction Russia before March?No | sell | 100 | $0.936 | $93.55 | Feb 15, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | sell | 82.72 | $0.160 | $13.24 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump sanction Russia before March?No | buy | 50 | $0.640 | $32 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump sanction Russia before March?No | buy | 55 | $0.630 | $34.65 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Feb 13, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Feb 13, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 34.09 | $0.088 | $3 | Feb 13, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 64.29 | $0.140 | $9 | Feb 13, 2025 |
| Will Putin visit the U.S. before July?Yes | buy | 674.98 | $0.140 | $94.5 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Russia in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.120 | $14.4 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.630 | $40.95 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?Yes | buy | 43.75 | $0.114 | $5 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?Putin | buy | 44.35 | $0.225 | $10 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 86.21 | $0.580 | $50 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.660 | $75 | Feb 12, 2025 |