Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 45% on 21 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 131 daily closes on record from 21 Feb 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 45% on 21 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 24.5% on 22 Feb 2025. $107.79K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 131 points, 21 Feb 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2025 | 45.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FishBotATH | Yes | 11.88K |
| 3440 | Yes | 169.99 |
| testtestingtesttest | Yes | 100 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration officially announces the withdrawal of all U.S. troops from at least one former Warsaw Pact country by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of the withdrawal of a permanent U.S. troop presence will count, even if rotational deployments remain. Likewise, an announcement of the end of rotational deployments in a country that does not have a permanent U.S. troop presence will also count, however announcements of force reductions, or partial withdrawals will not qualify. Any official announcement made within in this market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of if/when the policy is implemented. Any country which includes a former Warsaw Pact country will count (e.g. Germany, Czech Republic, Slovakia, qualify). The resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible repeating may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-announces-withdrawal-of-us-troops-from-warsaw-pact-country-before-july
| Helgef | Yes | 100 |
| zinky | Yes | 48 |
| HugoDiaz | Yes | 40 |
| Relieved-Substance | Yes | 23.81 |
| Slow-Stock | Yes | 21.56 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 10.56 |
| Po1yamory | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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