Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 22.73 | $0.220 | $3.07 | -$1.93 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US bank failure by June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 100 |
| $0.120 |
| $2.65 |
| -$9.35 |
| buy |
| 57.78 |
| $0.087 |
| $5 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
| Another US bank failure by March 31?Yes | buy | 163.19 | $0.025 | $4 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Another US bank failure by March 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.060 | $15 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Another US bank failure by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No | buy | 75.76 | $0.066 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Another US bank failure by February 28?Yes | buy | 292.32 | $0.034 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.14 | $0.070 | $6.31 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Another US bank failure by February 28?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 57.69 | $0.052 | $3 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.026 | $2 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.018 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 78.53 | $0.013 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.017 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?No | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.044 | $4 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.025 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.118 | $2.96 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.190 | $4 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.036 | $4 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.015 | $3 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.054 | $5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.032 | $5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Yes | buy | 19.76 | $0.253 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?Yes | buy | 83.97 | $0.060 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?Yes | buy | 94.34 | $0.053 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?Yes | buy | 103.45 | $0.029 | $3 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?Yes | buy | 48.39 | $0.062 | $3 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?Yes | buy | 46.73 | $0.107 | $5 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?Yes | buy | 50.51 | $0.099 | $5 | May 8, 2025 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.046 | $5 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 173.1 | $0.029 | $5 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 201.75 | $0.025 | $5 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Russia before July?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.025 | $5 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 8-14?No | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12?Down | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce tariffs on France on April 2?Yes | buy | 528.1 | $0.189 | $100 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?No | buy | 555.56 | $0.180 | $100 | Dec 14, 2024 |