Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 14.93 |
| $0.670 |
| $10 |
| Apr 28, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by April 30?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.049 | $5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by May 31?Yes | buy | 242.86 | $0.021 | $5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.017 | $2 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 137.5 | $0.007 | $1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | sell | 42.01 | $0.820 | $34.45 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 86.96 | $0.023 | $2 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by October 31?Yes | buy | 100.21 | $0.050 | $5 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | buy | 42.02 | $0.238 | $10 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 RFK Jr. Out by September 30?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.036 | $5 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?Yes | sell | 79.99 | $0.148 | $11.86 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.063 | $7.88 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?No | buy | 44.19 | $0.160 | $7.07 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.063 | $5 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.008 | $8 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?Yes | buy | 101.66 | $0.049 | $5 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Minnesota shooting suspect Vance Boelter captured by Sunday?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?Yes | buy | 53.21 | $0.038 | $2 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Trump x Putin talk by Friday?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?Yes | buy | 143.68 | $0.035 | $5 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.100 | $15 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Tel Aviv bus bomber arrested by Friday?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.469 | $14.07 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Bank of England rate cut in March meeting?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?No | buy | 73.53 | $0.068 | $5 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Tel Aviv bus bomber arrested by Friday?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 56.03 | $0.089 | $5 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove tariff on China before March?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will egg prices be less than $4.50 in February?Yes | buy | 262.07 | $0.038 | $10 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on Denmark in the first 100 days?No | sell | 15.87 | $0.690 | $10.95 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will ECB lower interest rates by 25bps in January 2025?No | buy | 126 | $0.040 | $5 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on Denmark in the first 100 days?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump list the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) as a terrorist organization before April?No | sell | 56.11 | $0.180 | $10.1 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump list the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) as a terrorist organization before April?No | buy | 56.11 | $0.178 | $10 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Ukraine lowers conscription age before May 9?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.180 | $25 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Hegseth" during Fox News Oval Office interview?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue 100-149 executive orders in first week?Yes | buy | 512.9 | $0.010 | $5 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump issue 25-49 executive orders in his first week?Yes | sell | 69.52 | $0.860 | $59.79 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump issue less than 25 executive orders in his first week?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.111 | $11.1 | Jan 21, 2025 |