Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 5% on 16 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 16 Jun 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 13% on 18 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 6% on 20 Jun 2025. $220.63K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 16 Jun 2025 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jun 2025 | 5.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 3.69K |
| Quarrelsome-Detainee | Yes | 1.15K |
| aegon | Yes | 1.03K |
| Neocowboy | Yes | 714.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Ali Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time between June 15 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Ali Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Ali Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Ali Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-khamenei-leave-iran-before-july
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 488.7 |
| bombushka | Yes | 396.15 |
| jeremett | Yes | 357.14 |
| StLukeAvenue | Yes | 309.33 |
| GD93-801 | Yes | 285.71 |
| tolij | Yes | 272.62 |
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