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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.210 | $350 | Jan 30, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 5K |
| $0.070 |
| $350 |
| Jan 16, 2026 |
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 759.24 | $0.119 | $90 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.180 | $900 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 470.59 | $0.017 | $8 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?Yes | buy | 396.15 | $0.126 | $50 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?Yes | buy | 668.15 | $0.449 | $300 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 2.01K | $0.050 | $100 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 10.02K | $0.034 | $341 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 560.85 | $0.178 | $100 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 374.55 | $0.267 | $100 | Jun 17, 2025 |