Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.009 | $45 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 384.62 |
| $0.013 |
| $5 |
| Mar 26, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.018 | $25 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 563.62 | $0.027 | $15 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.007 | $7 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.015 | $20 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 635.83 | $0.008 | $5 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 999.13 | $0.015 | $15 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 969.38 | $0.015 | $15 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.012 | $15 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 252.53 | $0.028 | $7 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 490.69 | $0.031 | $15 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 515.6 | $0.039 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 574.71 | $0.035 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 546.27 | $0.037 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 974.47 | $0.021 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 807.03 | $0.025 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.018 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 909.24 | $0.022 | $19.71 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.017 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 685.59 | $0.036 | $25 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 2.17K | $0.018 | $40 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 296.84 | $0.017 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 146.83 | $0.020 | $3 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 240.86 | $0.021 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 732.21 | $0.007 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 151.82 | $0.040 | $6 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 226.67 | $0.013 | $3 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 272.73 | $0.011 | $3 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 652.17 | $0.230 | $150 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.100 | $250 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 418.71 | $0.073 | $30.62 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 84.58 | $0.236 | $20 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 457.65 | $0.109 | $50 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 388 | $0.242 | $94 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 102.36 | $0.127 | $13 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by October 3?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.008 | $3 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?Yes | buy | 784.09 | $0.006 | $5 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Iran strike on Qatar today?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 163.04 | $0.184 | $30 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 22.86 | $0.350 | $8 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 UK strike on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 167.03 | $0.060 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Iranian officials visit the White House in June?Yes | buy | 263.42 | $0.038 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Khamenei before August?Yes | buy | 153.67 | $0.033 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |