Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.2%. Yes opened at 38% on 29 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 38% on 29 Jan 2025 and the low 1.1% on 28 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 15.5% on 2 Feb 2025. $70.32K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 92 points · 29 Jan 2025 – 30 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2025 | 38.0% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 3.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Damaged-Jumper | Yes | 225.87 |
| Lazarssss | Yes | 197 |
| Herodotus | Yes | 176.67 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on the listed country by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-trump-tariff-in-first-100-days
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 100 |
| nicnic | No | 100 |
| Indigo Pioneer 5DFB | Yes | 91.09 |
| goanalog | Yes | 72.97 |
| testtestingtesttest | Yes | 50 |
| ttttrader | Yes | 24.35 |
| nikoshalo | Yes | 9.09 |
