Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 21 Feb 2025. Before it settled, the high was 47.5% on 21 Feb 2025 and the low 3.5% on 2 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 8.5% on 22 Feb 2025. $124.76K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 3:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 22 points · 21 Feb 2025 – 14 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2025 | 47.5% |
| 14 Mar 2025 | 8.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Tice-Nits | Yes | 100 |
| bharatr | Yes | 35 |
| JK1062 | Yes | 25.25 |
| Fartard | Yes | 20 |
| YoungFatWalletUwU | Yes | 9 |
| epstes | No | 0.01 |
| bignickck | No | 0 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On February 20, multiple buses exploded in Tel Aviv (see: https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/terror-suspected-after-2-buses-explode-in-parking-lots-in-tel-aviv-suburb-nobody-hurt/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is arrested in direct connection with the bombing by February 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only individuals arrested in direct connection to the attack will qualify. Arrests of suspected accomplices who did not directly participate in the planting of these explosives will not count. Actions such as questioning or detention without a formal arrest will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If an arrest is made, this market may remain open beyond the end date in order to confirm whether the arrested individual qualifies according to the rules. The primary resolution source will be official information from law enforcement agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tel-aviv-bus-bomber-arrested-by-friday
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