Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 90%. Yes opened at 38.5% on 23 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 Jan 2025 to 24 Jan 2025, the highest close was 38.5% on 23 Jan 2025 and the lowest 10% on 24 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 10% on 24 Jan 2025. $2.65K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Jan 25, 4:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Jan 2025 – 24 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2025 | 38.5% |
| 24 Jan 2025 | 10.0% |
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Fox News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump from the Oval Office on Wednesday, January 22, at 9 p.m. ET (see: https://www.foxnews.com/media/fox-news-sean-hannity-interview-president-trump-from-oval-office) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Hegseth" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Hegseth" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Pete Hegseth. This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by January 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video of the interview.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-oval-office-interview
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