Latest trade
Mar 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 4:01 PM UTC.
Analytics
aqua54 is down $859.91 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-03 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 4:01 PM UTC.
$2 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 34 markets; 56.0% were buys. They run from Jan 5, 2026 UTC to Mar 14, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? | Yes | 2.33 | $0.860 | $0.77 | -$1.23 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.966 | $2.05 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-03 08:30 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 16:01 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 16:01 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-03 08:30 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $378.99 and losing ones cost $531.16 across the latest 50 settled positions. 44% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $45.56 on “Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 6?” (Yes); the largest loss, $60 on “Ethereum above $2,700 on June 10?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 14 Mar 2026. It has traded 685 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.32 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 3.92 |
| $0.510 |
| $0.45 |
| -$1.55 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 2.53 | $0.790 | $0.1 | -$1.9 |
| sell |
| 2.35 |
| $0.853 |
| $2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
 The Bondi Parlay (Feb 27)Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Feb 13, 2026 UTC |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | sell | 3.5 | $0.570 | $1.99 | Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.570 | $1.9 | Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump sue NYT/Siena over polling by Feb 28?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?No | sell | 2.08 | $0.963 | $2 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
 Honus Wagner card sale >$2 million?Yes | sell | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | sell | 2.38 | $0.850 | $2.02 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Saks file Chapter 11 Bankruptcy by January 31?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Honus Wagner card sale >$2 million?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
 Ackman vs. S&P - JanuaryAckman | sell | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.975 | $2.16 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Ackman vs. S&P - JanuaryAckman | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Pelosi vs. S&P - JanuaryPelosi | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.956 | $2.01 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Stefon Diggs suspended this season?No | sell | 2.29 | $0.880 | $2.02 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 6-12?Yes | sell | 2.19 | $0.940 | $2.06 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?No | sell | 2.66 | $0.967 | $2.57 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.910 | $2.02 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 6-12?Yes | sell | 2.19 | $0.960 | $2.1 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No | sell | 2.63 | $0.770 | $2.03 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
 QBgami in Week 1 of NFL Playoffs?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
 Dogecoin above $0.15 on January 8?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mike McCoy be fired by February 28?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.940 | $1.99 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
 Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.900 | $2.02 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Sinners" be nominated for Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?Yes | sell | 2.1 | $0.972 | $2.04 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
 Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?No | sell | 2.05 | $0.974 | $2 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jeremiyah Love go top 10 in the 2026 Pro Football draft?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.390 | $1.26 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
| Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
| Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.972 | $2 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 6-12?Yes | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 6-12?Yes | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.